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IMD forecasts rain in Haryana, Punjab, Delhi; Bay of Bengal system may intensify into cyclonic storm by Nov 16

Chandigarh, Nov 14 (UNI) The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Saturday forecast isolated rainfall in Haryana, Punjab, Chandigarh and Delhi, while warning that a developing weather system over the Bay of Bengal could intensify into a cyclonic storm by November 16, bringing heavy rain and strong winds to parts of eastern and southern India.
According to the IMD's All India Weather Summary and Forecast Bulletin issued at 8.33 a.m., a fresh western disturbance is also likely to affect northwest India from November 15.
However, the department's seven-day forecast indicates that Haryana, Punjab, Chandigarh and Delhi are expected to remain dry from November 15 to 20, following the possibility of isolated rainfall on Saturday.
Isolated to scattered rainfall is likely over Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during November 14-15. Western Rajasthan and western Uttar Pradesh may also receive rainfall during the same period, while eastern Rajasthan is likely to witness isolated showers on November 15.
The IMD has forecast thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds reaching 40-50 kmph, with gusts to 60 kmph at isolated places in Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh on Saturday. Western Rajasthan may experience thunderstorms and lightning, accompanied by winds of 30-40 kmph, gusting to 50 kmph, during November 14-15.
"A Fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Northwest India from 15th November, 2026," the IMD said in its meteorological analysis. The department said an existing western disturbance was positioned as a trough in the middle tropospheric westerlies, with its axis roughly along longitude 74 degrees east, north of latitude 32 degrees north.
Meanwhile, a well-marked low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal, observed at 5.30 a.m. on Saturday, is expected to intensify into a depression within the next 24 hours.
The system is likely to move northwestwards initially and subsequently north-northwestwards, intensifying further into a cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal around the evening of November 16. The IMD has forecast heavy rainfall at isolated places in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands during November 14-16. Heavy rainfall is also likely at isolated places in coastal Andhra Pradesh and Odisha on November 18 and 19.
The weather department warned that gale-force winds reaching 60-70 kmph, with gusts up to 80 kmph, could prevail over the southwest Bay of Bengal from November 17 for the next 24 hours.
Over the central Bay of Bengal, wind speeds may reach 65-75 kmph, gusting to 80 kmph, from November 17 for the following two days. The IMD has warned of rough to very rough sea conditions in the Andaman Sea and adjoining waters until November 17, with conditions likely to deteriorate in parts of the Bay of Bengal as the weather system strengthens.
Fishermen already at sea have been advised to return to the coast by November 15. They have also been advised not to venture into the Andaman Sea and waters around the Andaman and Nicobar Islands until November 17, the southwest Bay of Bengal during November 15-18 and the central Bay of Bengal during November 16-19.
According to the IMD, no significant weather activity is expected over most parts of western, central and northeastern India during the week. UNI KK NST AAB
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