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IMD forecasts heavy rain in Jammu and Kashmir, showers in Punjab; Haryana, Delhi to remain dry

Panchkula, Nov 11 (UNI) The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Wednesday forecast heavy rainfall at isolated places in the Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh region on November 12, accompanied by thunderstorms and gusty winds, while Punjab and Himachal Pradesh are likely to receive rain over the coming days. Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi are expected to remain dry until November 17.
According to the IMD's All India Weather Summary and Forecast Bulletin issued at 8 a.m., a western disturbance is currently positioned over north Pakistan and adjoining areas as a cyclonic circulation at an altitude of 3.1 kilometres above mean sea level.
The weather system is associated with a trough in the middle-tropospheric westerlies, extending approximately along longitude 67 degrees east and north of latitude 30 degrees north.
The IMD forecast fairly widespread to widespread rainfall over the Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh meteorological region on November 12 and 13, with isolated to scattered rainfall during the remaining days of the forecast period.
"Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad on 12th November," the department said in its bulletin.
Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds reaching 40-50 kmph, with gusts up to 60 kmph, are likely over the region during November 12-14.
Himachal Pradesh is expected to receive isolated to scattered rainfall during November 11-16. Gusty winds of 30-40 kmph, occasionally reaching 50 kmph, are forecast for November 12 and 13.
Punjab is likely to experience isolated rainfall from November 12 onwards. While the bulletin's main weather summary specifies November 12-16, its seven-day forecast table indicates isolated rainfall may continue on November 17.
Uttarakhand is also likely to receive isolated rainfall on November 12 and 13.
However, the IMD has forecast dry weather across Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi throughout the seven-day period ending November 17.
The forecast indicates that the approaching western disturbance is likely to bring rainfall primarily to the western Himalayan region and parts of Punjab, while Haryana and the national capital are expected to remain outside the predicted rainfall zone.
The department's temperature observations for November 10 showed minimum temperatures below normal at isolated places in Himachal Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and several other parts of the country.
Minimum temperatures were also markedly below normal, by more than five degrees Celsius, at a few places in eastern Madhya Pradesh and isolated locations in western Madhya Pradesh, western Uttar Pradesh and other regions.
Meanwhile, the IMD has predicted the formation of a low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal around November 13.
"A Low Pressure Area is likely to form over Southeast Bay of Bengal around 13th November, 2026," the department said, adding that the system was expected to move northwestwards and become a well-marked low-pressure area during the subsequent 24 hours.
Heavy rainfall is forecast at isolated places over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands during November 11-14 and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on November 11, 15 and 16. The day-wise warning also indicates heavy rainfall in parts of Tamil Nadu and Kerala on November 17.
The IMD has warned of squally weather over the Andaman Sea and parts of the southeast Bay of Bengal, with winds reaching 40-50 kmph and gusting to 60 kmph.
The department cautioned that heavy rainfall and strong winds could damage standing crops, horticultural plantations and vulnerable structures, besides causing localised flooding, landslides and disruption to transport services in affected areas.
People in vulnerable locations have been advised to monitor weather developments and take precautions against thunderstorms and lightning.
The IMD's forecast shows contrasting weather conditions across the country, with rainfall expected in parts of northwest India, dry conditions over Haryana and Delhi, and heavy rain warnings for parts of southern India and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
UNI KK ARN
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