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Well Marked LP area becomes Depression, to further intensify as Cyclonic Storm Akvan

Chennai, Nov 15 (UNI) The Well Marked Low Pressure Area over the Bay has intensified into a Depression on Sunday and it will further intensify into a Cyclonic Storm Akvan tomorrow.
In a Special bulletin this morning, IMD said the Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal moved north-northwestwards, intensified into a Depression and lay centered at 0530 hours over Southeast and adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal, about 700km west-southwest of Port Blair (Andaman Island), 860 km east-southeast of Chennai (Tamil Nadu), 1040 km south-southeast of Visakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) and 1160 km south-southeast of Gopalpur (Odisha).
After intensifying as a Deep Depression, it is very likely to continue to move north-northwestwards, intensify further into a Cyclonic Storm over the central parts of south and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal tomorrow. It will further concentrate into a Severe Cyclonic Storm over westcentral Bay of Bengal on November 17. The Storm would be named Akvan as suggested by Iran in the naming list of tropical cyclones forming over North Indian Ocean.
Met office scientists are closely monitoring the movement of the system to determine the location of its landfall.
Meanwhile, private weather blogger Hemachander said there was a possibility of the system take a west movement towares the North Tamil Nadu and adjoining South Andhra Pradesh coasts, reviving the Northeast monsoon and promising heavy rains in Chennai and adjoining North and North coastal districts, with landfall likely between Ennore and Cuddalore on November 19 night or on early November 20.
The system is likely to intensify further into a Deep Depression during the next 24 hours, into Cyclonic Storm “Akvan” during the next 36 hours, and further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during the next 48 hours. It is likely to move north-northwestwards for the next 24-36 hours and then stall over the Southwest Bay of Bengal tomorrow and the day after. Thereafter, it is expected to take a west movement towards the North Tamil Nadu coasts and adjoining South Andhra Pradesh coasts.
"Landfall is likely between #Ennore and #Cuddalore around the night of 19th November / early morning hours of 20th November as a Severe Cyclonic Storm", he said.
Even if it makes landfall as a Severe Cyclonic Storm, the system is expected to remain more rain bearing rather than wind destructive, supported by favourable planetary wave conditions, highly favourable sea surface temperatures, and conducive wind shear conditions.
met office sources said the movement of the system and the wind pattern would determine the location of the landfall.
This is the fourth Low Pressure area in succession to form over the Bay since the onset of Northeast monsoon on October 15. This would also be the third successive Cyclonic Storm over the Bay after the Vere Severe Cyclonic Storm Arnab and Severe Cyclonic Storm Murasu, which have crossed the Andhra coast without impacting the Tamil Nadu coast.
Perhaps for the first time, four systems has formed in succession over the Bay. Except for the first Low Pressure, the second and third systems have intensified into Severe Cyclonic Storms and the present fourth system, too is all set to concentrate into a Cyclonic Storm and futher as Severe Cyclonic Storm making it a third Cyclone in succession, also a first.
UNI GV 1045
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