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New Low Pressure area, the 4th in less than a month, to form over Bay on Nov 13, to intensify further

Chennai, Nov 10 (UNI) A new Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal will form on November 13, the fourth in less than a month since the onset of Northeast monsoon on October 15, and it was likely to intensify further, triggering widespread rains across Tamil Nadu.
The met office scientists will keenly monitoring its movement following reports that it could intensify into a Cyclonic storm, the third in succession after Cyclone Arnab and Murasu, and the likelihood of hitting the North Tamil Nadu coast, including Chennai and its neighbouring districts.
In an update on Tuesday, Met office said a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over Southeast Bay of Bengal around November 13. It is likely to move northwestwards and become a Well Marked Low Pressure area during the subsequent 24 hours.
Under its influence, squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph and gusting up to 60 kmph is likely over Andaman Sea and Southeast Bay of Bengal on November 14 and 15.
Sea condition is likely to be rough to very rough over Andaman Sea and Southeast Bay of Bengal these days and fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
Meanwhile, reports said the northeast monsoon is gaining momentum across Tamil Nadu, with forecast of widespread rainfall in the coming days and that the developing weather system over the Bay of Bengal could intensify into a cyclonic storm next week.
According to rainfall statistics, Tamil Nadu and Puducherry received 25.4 cm of rainfall between October 1 and November 9, against the seasonal normal of 24.3 cm, registering a four per cent surplus.
It said there is a possibility of the new system forming on November 13, gradually intensifying and moving towards adjoining Sri Lanka by November 15. Favourable atmospheric conditions could strengthen it further and potentially develop into a cyclonic storm.
Tamil Nadu could experience another spell of substantial rainfall between November 15 and 20 once the weather system approaches the coast. If the system develops into a cyclone, it could potentially cross the Tamil Nadu coastline around November 19 or subsequently.
However, officials said it was too early to predict the possibility of cyclone formation, its eventual intensity and the landfall location as it depended on the system's evolution in the coming days.
Meanwhile, the shift in the movement of weather system over the Comorin area intensfied rainfall activity in southern and delta districts, which had been experiencing heavy rains for the last few days and the intense spells wil continue till November 15 and gain momentum further once the fresh system formed over bay.
UNI GV 1950
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